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The Dengue Cases Using Grey Model

EasyChair Preprint no. 9100

11 pagesDate: October 24, 2022


The forecasting of Dengue cases was only relied on ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average), the Grey Model has been acceptable worldwide. The GM(1,1) and GM(1,1) expanded with periodic correction (GM(1,1)EP)model were tested with annual Dengue cases, the determined Grey models showed good prediction results for the normal year 2018, but was not good for the peak year 2019. The roll forward with the Grey models GM(1,1)EP for monthly data were not achieved good accuracy results due to the data may lost their originality. The sophisticated model will be explored to achieve the accuracy of prediction.

Keyphrases: Dengue cases, Forecasting, grey model, time series

BibTeX entry
BibTeX does not have the right entry for preprints. This is a hack for producing the correct reference:
  author = {Preecha Khrueasom and Chalermchai Puripat and Shawiss Puripat and Vadhana Jayathavaj},
  title = {The Dengue Cases Using Grey Model},
  howpublished = {EasyChair Preprint no. 9100},

  year = {EasyChair, 2022}}
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