Significance of Early Announcement of Weather Extremes: Case Study - Montenegro

EasyChair Preprint 3182, version 2

Abstract

By virtue of more reliable products of numerical modeling (prognostic or synoptic material), the degree of accuracy of the short-term weather forecast is very high today. There is a general belief that the most striking consequences of contemporary climate changes are the increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather phenomena. In the last two decades, there has been no year in Montenegro in which some weather extreme has not been registered. The aim of this paper is to highlight the importance of an early announcement of potentially dangerous weather phenomena in the example of one case in Montenegro. The prognostic material including ocassionally storm surges, heavy rainfall and the occurrence of severe local instability in Montenegro on July 28, 2019 was considered. Based on the analysis of the synoptic material, the warning of the expected weather conditions was given two days before. The warnings of the competent institutions should be respected in order to adapt (adapt) the population to the expected extreme weather situations and thus avoid or mitigate the negative consequences.

Keyphrases: Montenegro, Weather extremes, climate change

@booklet{EasyChair:3182,
  author    = {Dragan Burić and Dragoslav Banjak and Miroslav Doderović and Angel Marčev and Jovan Dragojlovic},
  title     = {Significance of Early Announcement of Weather Extremes: Case Study - Montenegro},
  howpublished = {EasyChair Preprint 3182},
  year      = {EasyChair, 2022}}